Monday, August 6, 2018

College Football Week One




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Week One


good returning QB returning

good RB and WR/TE returning

Coaching changes, DC, OC

Quality of Coach and program

participated in Bowl game and had additional practices

finished strong, with quality wins, covered the spread

injuries, suspensions

Vegas posted lines in May, what happened in the interval

compare Power Rating calculated point spread
FPI  and Bill Connelly

returning starters

recruiting in the last few years
during a period that is relevant to this season

http://www.espn.com/college-sports/football/recruiting/school?id=333

http://insider.espn.com/college-sports/football/recruiting/classrankings?action=login

https://n.rivals.com/team_rankings/2019/all-teams/football?guccounter=1


true Home game

returning starters, experience

https://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2018/1/31/16950222/2018-ncaa-football-returning-starters-experience


https://247sports.com/Season/2019-Football/CompositeTeamRankings/


How can you evaluate physicality / athleticism ?
Bama vs Idaho
there is difference
there are in a different league / level

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go through all week one games
And total season win totals for teams
this is a good foundation for research

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Week Two

check injuries, suspensions

how did the team do against the spread
perform above or below the point spread
and by how much

variance, deviation, from the point spread
the point spread is based on FPI power index
this is like stocks





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New Mexico State Aggies +6.5
Home game for New Mexico State

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-football/odds/las-vegas/

http://www.donbest.com/ncaaf/injuries/

http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/fpi?id=2751&year=2018

http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/fpi?id=166&year=2018

https://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2018/5/4/17298744/new-mexico-state-football-2018-preview-schedule-roster

https://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2018/4/6/17185826/wyoming-football-2018-preview-schedule-roster

https://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2018/4/13/17228654/mountain-west-football-2018-power-rankings

https://www.sbnation.com/college-football-team-previews-2018

http://www.espn.com/college-football/statistics/teamratings

http://www.ourlads.com/ncaa-football-depth-charts/depth-chart/wyoming/92568

http://www.ourlads.com/ncaa-football-depth-charts/depth-chart/new-mexico-state/91372



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No bet - Hawaii / Colorado State
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No bet - Central Florida / Connecticut


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