College Basketball
WatchList 01-21-2018
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These are Unranked teams that have beaten top teams
Next Game = the date of the next game
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Road ATS against the spread
Covering the spread on the Road
Next Game = the date of the next game
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UNDERDOG ATS against the spread
Covering the spread when Underdog
Next Game = the date of the next game
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INJURIES
http://www.donbest.com/ncaab/injuries/
BPI ESPN
http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/bpi/_/view/bpi
Daily Predictions
http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/bpi/_/view/predictions
Rankings
http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/rankings
ATS
https://www.teamrankings.com/ncb/trends/ats_trends/
Offense PPG
https://www.teamrankings.com/ncaa-basketball/stat/points-per-game
Defense
https://www.teamrankings.com/ncaa-basketball/stat/opponent-points-per-game
Ken Pom
https://kenpom.com
Pick Monitor
https://www.pickmonitor.com
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Saturday Data Mining
Filters
Rounds
Multi-Variable Analysis
351 teams
100+ games
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FILTERS
Under 150
Over 130
+10 point Underdogs
Consider MoneyLine
MoneyLine +200+
Consider point spread 5 to 9.5
You already looked at +10 point underdogs in Filter 3
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Deeper Analysis
Injuries
Home / Road
Home Court can be a big advantage
SOS strength of schedule
Benchmarking
Quality of Wins / Losses
Recency
Recent performance / results
Look for Good Road teams
Volatility
Noise
It may be impossible to predict an individual game
You need to diversify, spread it out
MiT Black Jack
Law of averages
2/3/18 St. John's Upsets Duke
Who can predict that?
Process Control
Biological Systems
Set Point
Other Filters
Unranked teams that beat Ranked teams (BPI)
ATS trends
WatchList
Use Filters to Narrow the Numbers
from 100+ to Ten good prospects.
Then do Deeper research
January is the best month to start seriously
Rivalries, Head hunting, Conference
Bubble teams
NCAA tournament standings and getting in
Also, Underdogs can get better as the season progresses
more practice, more experience, more chemistry
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Major Filters
Filter 1:
Under with a strike point over 150
Filter 2:
Over with a strike point under 130
Filter 3:
Underdogs with more than 10+ point spread
Filter 4:
Moneyline great than +200
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Underdogs whole game
MoneyLine Underdogs
UNDER 150+
First Half Home Favorites -3
First Half Over 60
WatchLists
Prefer Home Court
Fear Road
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