Thursday, November 29, 2018

Micro-Goals Dopamine Positive Feedback Loop


Micro-Goals

Divide and conquer.

Break up your large major Goal
into tiny little Micro-goals.

Say / Write out the micro-goals.

When you complete each micro-goal,
give yourself Positive reinforcement.
For example, tell yourself Good Job !

Brain increases Dopamine
whenever you complete a micro-goal.

Dopamine is the pleasure reward chemical in the brain,
that makes you feel good.

You create a Positive Feedback Loop
that keeps you going.

If you do Not have micro-goals,
and you just have the large major Goal,
you do not get the frequent shots of dopamine,
and you are more likely to quit.




Friday, November 16, 2018

Self Mastery Part 1

PDF
https://www.dropbox.com/s/egvky7ulypn20c0/WX%20A01.pdf?dl=0


11-16-2018
____________________________________________________________________________________


Background / Motivation -- DK ultra Self-Mastery

Brain and Body are connected, and the connections go two-ways. Brain sends signals to the Body. Body sends signals to the Brain. Brain can be used to control the Body. Body can be used to control and influence the Brain.

Brain is NeuroPlastic, and can grow new neurons, upgrade, rewire in a dynamic process. The changes can be quick and dramatic. Brain is not fixed, but can grow and improve and add functionalities. Brain can be reprogrammed. Old programs can be diminished and deleted. New programs, software Apps, can be installed and programmed in.

This is Good news. This is Hope. We are Not Slaves to our past, DNA, current condition, our material body, or the material earthly world. We can upgrade our brains, our bodies, and our lives. Think how powerful the NeuroPlasticity discovery is. This is a scientific fact. Use it.

Brain is a computer. Brain is a living biologic organic computer, with dynamic software and hardware.

Brain is a computer with electrical circuits, circuitry, and circuit boards. The circuit boards are made up of billions of neurons in a 3-dimensional hyper-complex elegant functional network. Neurons are nerve cells, the building blocks of the neural circuit board. Neurons send electrochemical signals to other neurons in the circuit by means of neurotransmitters, like Dopamine, Oxytocin, Adrenaline.

Amazingly, the brain is also a quantum computer. Brain acts as a quantum computer -- a computational machine that makes use of quantum mechanical phenomena to perform complex calculations. Quantum computation occurs in the brain. Quantum mechanical behavior has been proven to exist in other biological systems. Quantum effects have been observed in photosynthesis in green plants. Birds may use quantum mechanics to navigate. Quantum physics discoveries reveal the hyper-complexity and elegance of biological systems, like the human brain.

This hyper-complexity and functional elegance cannot be explained by random natural processes. This ultra-high level of Functional hyper-complexity and elegance could only be created by God. Jesus Christ = Alpha and Omega. ( I would he happy to debate any Atheist in a side conversation. )

The code for the brain's software is contained in our DNA. At conception, the single cell zygote contains the genetic code for the initial OS operating system, Apps applications, and hardware design of the material brain-body (MBB).

As the baby develops and throughout our life cycle, inputs, both internal inputs and external inputs, influence the software and the hardware of the material brain-body (MBB). Because many of these inputs are random and disorganized, with no overarching developmental strategy, the software, OS, Apps, hardware are nonoptimal. Some of the software and hardware become corrupted with irrelevant items and malicious computer virus codes -- most unintentionally inputted as we live life -- some intentionally installed by external agencies to serve their selfish purposes, not to benefit us, for example, fast food advertising.

All of the inputs that we experience throughout our life cycle influence the software and hardware of our material brain-body (MBB). But we do not have conscious awareness or control over many of these inputs, especially while we are children. Therefore, many of the electrochemical signals that we experience are not reliable, and may not accurately reflect what we truly want. Over-eating and cigarette smoking are common examples of counterproductive cravings and bad habits with negative long-term consequences.

Furthermore, the brain is an imperfect electrical system, and can have electrical misfires. Biological systems are not precise electrical instruments, and can send random rogue electrical signals, like a facial twitch, or an extra heart beat.

These electrical signals are real, they are not an illusion. These electrical signals are real physical activities that can be measured with EEG and functional MRI. But these electrical signals have variable levels of validity. Some of the electrical signals have high value, some low value, some positive, some negative, some urgent, some nonurgent. We cannot give every electrical signal equal weight and priority, because the material brain-body (MBB) computer is corrupted. Would you count on a PC computer with corrupted code and computer viruses ?

Here is an example, let's say you just ate a good lunch, then two hours later you are bored and see a billboard for pizza, and then you start to crave pizza, this pizza craving is clearly not based your bodies nutritional needs, it is a real signal, but it is a signal that should be disregarded.

Some of the electrical signals are negative, counterproductive, and self-destructive. This cannot be explained by a Darwinian paradigm which is driven by primal utilitarianism. But the negative electrical signals can be explained by my DK ultra model of the human brain. One important test for a scientific theory is that it has to explain major phenomena. This is one major failure of Darwin's theory. People do random self-destructive stuff all the time.

If we act on all the impulses generated by our material brain-body, we would live a random chaotic disorganized bizarre semi-charmed kinda life. We would be slaves to the electrical impulses from a corrupted computer. Think how stupid our lives would be. The sad thing is -- all of us are slaves, in varying degrees, to our material brain-body and the earthly material world. I am a material girl, living in a material world.

The Good news is -- We all have the power and tools to achieve freedom and self-mastery. We were created in the image of God, and blessed with Free Will. We are blessed with self-awareness and mindfulness, and the power to control and chose our thoughts, feelings, and actions.

These God-given abilities are embryonic when we are babies, and are dominated by our physical material brain-body (MBB). When we are babies our Mind / Soul appears to be fused to our material brain-body. As we grow and develop during childhood and throughout of adult lives, there is increasing separation of our transcendent Mind / Soul from our physical material brain-body (MBB). Our Minds gain greater self-awareness, external situational awareness, and control of our material brain-body (MBB) and our thoughts, feelings, and actions.

But we are on a spectrum. Some adults are enslaved by the negative electrical signals generated by the material brain-body. Many of these people would be diagnosed with addictions and mental illness. Substance abuse is a major risk factor for the corruption of the material brain-body and suppression of the mind.

GAF 100 is an ideal that represents the other end of the spectrum. Global Assessment of Functioning (GAF) is well known internationally and widely used for scoring the severity of illness in psychiatry. GAF scale considers psychological, social, and occupational functioning on a hypothetical continuum of mental health-illness. The highest GAF score is 100, which is score for a person that has superior functioning in a wide range of activities, life’s problems never seem to get out of hand, is sought out by others because of his/her many positive qualities. No symptoms. Https://msu.edu/course/sw/840/stocks/pack/axisv.pdf
Very few people could be classified with GAF 100. I have met a few. They are very rare. They're unicorns. ( I'm not one of them. But I think my sister is. )

Most of us are in the middle of the spectrum, we have a reasonable amount of self-awareness and self-control. We go through life taking care of our basic needs, and have okay relationships with our friends and families. But we do not have self-mastery. We are not entirely happy, our lives are just adequate. We indulge our small vices, like chocolate and binge watching Game of Thrones. Sometimes we think that we are in a pointless rat race. We are driven by our random thoughts, feelings, and cravings. We are slaves to the material world. Our lives don't really have one direction. But part of us, knows that we could do better.

Yes We Can ! We can do Better ! We can do it !

But first, we need to address -Why ? Why bother ? If we have an okay job, and okay family and social life, why bother when everything is good.

I have concluded that -- there is really no option. We are on boat going downstream heading toward a waterfall. We have two choices. We can paddle upstream and live, truly live. Or we just cruise, set adrift on memory bliss -- downstream towards the waterfall -- gently down the stream, merrily, merrily, merrily, merrily, life is but a dream -- then you go off the waterfall and die.

My recommendation -- Don't go chasing waterfalls. The middle zone may be a comfort zone, but it's a danger zone. Complacency is a highway to the danger zone. It's better to take the stairway to heaven. You say, you're good. But good is the enemy of great.

There is scientific support for these song lyrics and famous quotes, Entropy. Entropy is a measure of the disorder, randomness, of a system. Second law of thermodynamics ( law of entropy ) indicates that systems tend to proceed in the direction of increasing disorder, randomness, entropy.

If we do not put energy into a system, the system will decay. If we do not maintain a house, the house falls apart. Applying the concept of entropy to our lives, if we do put positive energy into our lives, we will decay and die. There is no stable neutral state, it is either positive or negative. We either take control and move our lives in a positive direction, or we drift and decay and die.

We all end up dead, it's just a question of how and why. Every man dies, not every man really lives.
What will you do without freedom ?



_____________________________________________________________________________________

Next --
DK ultra Self Mastery system

_____________________________________________________________________________________




Monday, October 15, 2018

Catalyst

Sunday, September 16, 2018

DK Ultra ~ Book List 09-16-2018

_____________________


You Are Not Your Brain
Jeffrey M. Schwartz
https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1583334831


Upside of Stress
Kelly McGonigal 
https://www.amazon.com/dp/1101982934


How the Body Knows Its Mind
Sian Beilock
https://www.amazon.com/dp/145162669X


The Brain's Way of Healing
Norman Doidge 
https://www.amazon.com/Brains-Way-Healing-Discoveries-Neuroplasticity/dp/014312837X


On Combat
Dave Grossman
https://www.amazon.com/dp/0964920549


First, Fast, Fearless 
Brian Hiner
https://www.amazon.com/dp/0071844880


Captivate
Vanessa Van Edwards
https://www.amazon.com/dp/0399564489


Science of Selling
David Hoffeld
https://www.amazon.com/dp/0143129325


Neuromarketing
Patrick Renvoise
https://www.amazon.com/dp/078522680X


How to Win Friends & Influence People 
Dale Carnegie 
https://www.amazon.com/How-Win-Friends-Influence-People/dp/0671027034


How to Stop Worrying and Start Living
Dale Carnegie 
https://www.amazon.com/How-Stop-Worrying-Start-Living/dp/0671035975



_____________________


Bible Gateway
https://www.biblegateway.com/passage/?search=Matthew%206&version=TLV;ESV;NKJV;KJV


_____________________


EOB: The Eastern Greek Orthodox New Testament
Laurent A. Cleenewerck
https://www.amazon.com/EOB-Orthodox-Testament-Patriarchal-extensive/dp/148191765X


The Kingdom New Testament
N. T. Wright 
https://www.amazon.com/Kingdom-New-Testament-Paperback-Contemporary/dp/0062064924


The Orthodox Study Bible
St. Athanasius Academy of Orthodox Theology 
https://www.amazon.com/Orthodox-Study-Bible-Hardcover-Christianity/dp/0718003594


Tree of Life Version TLV Bible
Messianic Jewish Family Bible Society 
https://www.amazon.com/Thinline-Scriptures-Walnut-Design-Duravella/dp/0801019214


The Orthodox Church
Timothy Ware
https://www.amazon.com/Orthodox-Church-Introduction-Eastern-Christianity/dp/014198063X



_____________________

Friday, September 7, 2018

Preliminary Week 2 college football


Preliminary Week 2 college football

Preliminary Week 2 college football


Preliminary Week 2 college football

Week 2

TCU vs SMU -  No bet


* Liberty +10
* Liberty Wins ML


Week 2

TCU vs SMU -  No bet


* Liberty +10
* Liberty Wins ML

___

UAB - No bet

___

? USF south florida +3
MoneyLine
USF has Bama QB
Georgia Tech has losses at DB

___

Western Michigan +27.5
-No ML


___

==================================

Week 2 college football
Week 2

TCU vs SMU -  No bet


* Liberty +10
* Liberty Wins ML


Week 2

TCU vs SMU -  No bet


* Liberty +10
* Liberty Wins ML

___

UAB - No bet
? UAB -9

? Coastal Carolina QB
Kilton Anderson
probable Saturday vs UAB


___

? USF south florida +3
MoneyLine
USF has Bama QB
Georgia Tech has losses at DB

___

Western Michigan +27.5
-No ML


___
___

App State -13.5
First Half App State

App State beat Penn State in the First Half

___

Eastern Michigan +16.5
E.Michigan has Iowa QB
? MoneyLine

___

-No bet Wisconsin vs New Mexico

___

? Air Force +9.5

___

Florida International FIU
-1  pk

___

Duke +3

___

Mississippi State -9
I like Miss State

___
___

Mississippi State -9
I like Miss State

___

-No bet Houston vs Arizona

___

Vanderbilt
First Half
Whole Game
I like Vanderbilt
they just need a QB

___

Georgia State +26

___
___

Georgia State +26

___

First Half Oklahoma

___

First Half Utah State

___

First Half Central Michigan

___

___

First Half Central Michigan

___

First Half UNLV
UTEP lost to FCS

___


No bet - Memphis v Navy

No bet - UNC v E Carolina

___


First Half Ohio State

___

___


First Half Ohio State

___

Buffalo +5
MoneyLine

___


South Carolina +10
MoneyLine

___

___


South Carolina +10
MoneyLine

___

No bet - Baylor v UTSA

___

First Half Alabama

First Half Total Alabama

___

First Half Colorado

___

ULM +6.5
Louisiana-Monroe

___

Ball State +35

___

___

Ball State +35

___

Iowa State +4

___

First Half Maryland

___



U Mass +2
Massachusetts


___

Texas A&M +12.5
MoneyLine

___

First Half Missouri

___


___

First Half Missouri

___

First Half Indiana ?

___

First Half Florida ?

___

First Half Utah

___

Fresno State

___

First Half Arkansas

___

Cincinnati Pk

___

Tulsa +23.5

___

South Alabama +31.5

___

Pittsburgh +8

___


Stanford -5.5

___

BYU -2.5

___

First Half Boise St

___

Michigan State -5.5

___

First Half San Jose State

___

First Half Hawaii

___

===================================


Early Games Week 2 college football

Week 2 college football


Week 2

TCU vs SMU -  No bet


* Liberty +10
* Liberty Wins ML


Week 2

TCU vs SMU -  No bet


* Liberty +10
* Liberty Wins ML

___

UAB - No bet

___

? USF south florida +3
MoneyLine
USF has Bama QB
Georgia Tech has losses at DB

___

Western Michigan +27.5
-No ML


___

==================================

Week 2 college football
Week 2

TCU vs SMU -  No bet


* Liberty +10
* Liberty Wins ML


Week 2

TCU vs SMU -  No bet


* Liberty +10
* Liberty Wins ML

___

UAB - No bet
? UAB -9

? Coastal Carolina QB
Kilton Anderson
probable Saturday vs UAB


___

? USF south florida +3
MoneyLine
USF has Bama QB
Georgia Tech has losses at DB

___

Western Michigan +27.5
-No ML


___
___

App State -13.5
First Half App State

App State beat Penn State in the First Half

___

Eastern Michigan +16.5
E.Michigan has Iowa QB
? MoneyLine

___

-No bet Wisconsin vs New Mexico

___

? Air Force +9.5

___

Florida International FIU
-1  pk

___

Duke +3

___

Mississippi State -9
I like Miss State

___
___

Mississippi State -9
I like Miss State

___

-No bet Houston vs Arizona

___

Vanderbilt
First Half
Whole Game
I like Vanderbilt
they just need a QB

___

Georgia State +26

___
___

Georgia State +26

___

First Half Oklahoma

___

First Half Utah State

___

First Half Central Michigan

___

___

First Half Central Michigan

___

First Half UNLV
UTEP lost to FCS

___


No bet - Memphis v Navy

No bet - UNC v E Carolina

___


First Half Ohio State

___

___


First Half Ohio State

___

Buffalo +5
MoneyLine

___


South Carolina +10
MoneyLine

___

___


South Carolina +10
MoneyLine

___

No bet - Baylor v UTSA

___

First Half Alabama

First Half Total Alabama

___

First Half Colorado

___

ULM +6.5
Louisiana-Monroe

___

Ball State +35

___
=====================================

Monday, August 6, 2018

College Football Week One




______________

Week One


good returning QB returning

good RB and WR/TE returning

Coaching changes, DC, OC

Quality of Coach and program

participated in Bowl game and had additional practices

finished strong, with quality wins, covered the spread

injuries, suspensions

Vegas posted lines in May, what happened in the interval

compare Power Rating calculated point spread
FPI  and Bill Connelly

returning starters

recruiting in the last few years
during a period that is relevant to this season

http://www.espn.com/college-sports/football/recruiting/school?id=333

http://insider.espn.com/college-sports/football/recruiting/classrankings?action=login

https://n.rivals.com/team_rankings/2019/all-teams/football?guccounter=1


true Home game

returning starters, experience

https://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2018/1/31/16950222/2018-ncaa-football-returning-starters-experience


https://247sports.com/Season/2019-Football/CompositeTeamRankings/


How can you evaluate physicality / athleticism ?
Bama vs Idaho
there is difference
there are in a different league / level

______________


go through all week one games
And total season win totals for teams
this is a good foundation for research

______________


Week Two

check injuries, suspensions

how did the team do against the spread
perform above or below the point spread
and by how much

variance, deviation, from the point spread
the point spread is based on FPI power index
this is like stocks





______________



_____________________

New Mexico State Aggies +6.5
Home game for New Mexico State

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-football/odds/las-vegas/

http://www.donbest.com/ncaaf/injuries/

http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/fpi?id=2751&year=2018

http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/fpi?id=166&year=2018

https://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2018/5/4/17298744/new-mexico-state-football-2018-preview-schedule-roster

https://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2018/4/6/17185826/wyoming-football-2018-preview-schedule-roster

https://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2018/4/13/17228654/mountain-west-football-2018-power-rankings

https://www.sbnation.com/college-football-team-previews-2018

http://www.espn.com/college-football/statistics/teamratings

http://www.ourlads.com/ncaa-football-depth-charts/depth-chart/wyoming/92568

http://www.ourlads.com/ncaa-football-depth-charts/depth-chart/new-mexico-state/91372



_____________________



_____________________

No bet - Hawaii / Colorado State
_____________________
No bet - Central Florida / Connecticut


_____________________

Sunday, January 21, 2018

College Basketball WatchList










College Basketball
WatchList   01-21-2018

_____________________


These are Unranked teams that have beaten top teams

Next Game = the date of the next game


























_____________________


Road  ATS against the spread
Covering the spread on the Road

Next Game = the date of the next game

























_____________________


UNDERDOG  ATS against the spread
Covering the spread when Underdog

Next Game = the date of the next game




















_____________________


INJURIES
http://www.donbest.com/ncaab/injuries/


BPI  ESPN
http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/bpi/_/view/bpi


Daily Predictions
http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/bpi/_/view/predictions


Rankings
http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/rankings


ATS
https://www.teamrankings.com/ncb/trends/ats_trends/


Offense PPG
https://www.teamrankings.com/ncaa-basketball/stat/points-per-game


Defense
https://www.teamrankings.com/ncaa-basketball/stat/opponent-points-per-game


Ken Pom
https://kenpom.com



Pick Monitor
https://www.pickmonitor.com





_____________________


College Basketball
Saturday Data Mining
Filters
Rounds
Multi-Variable Analysis
351 teams
100+ games


_______

FILTERS

Under 150

Over 130

+10 point Underdogs
     Consider MoneyLine

MoneyLine +200+
     Consider point spread 5 to 9.5
     You already looked at +10 point underdogs in Filter 3


_______

Deeper Analysis

Injuries

Home / Road
Home Court can be a big advantage

SOS strength of schedule
Benchmarking
Quality of Wins / Losses

Recency
Recent performance / results

Look for Good Road teams

Volatility
Noise
It may be impossible to predict an individual game
You need to diversify, spread it out
MiT Black Jack
Law of averages

2/3/18  St. John's Upsets Duke
              Who can predict that?

Process Control
Biological Systems
Set Point

Other Filters
Unranked teams that beat Ranked teams (BPI)
ATS trends

WatchList

Use Filters to Narrow the Numbers
from 100+ to Ten good prospects.
Then do Deeper research

January is the best month to start seriously

Rivalries, Head hunting, Conference
Bubble teams
NCAA tournament standings and getting in

Also, Underdogs can get better as the season progresses
more practice, more experience, more chemistry

___

Major Filters

Filter 1:
Under with a strike point over 150

Filter 2:
Over with a strike point under 130

Filter 3:
Underdogs with more than 10+ point spread

Filter 4:

Moneyline great than +200


___


Underdogs whole game

MoneyLine Underdogs

UNDER 150+

First Half Home Favorites -3


First Half Over 60

WatchLists

Prefer Home Court

Fear Road





_

Wednesday, January 17, 2018

*College *Basketball *Unders









> Look at the bottom of this web page for very important links

We're talking about College Basketball

_______

Scoring

#1 Duke 92.7 points per game

#351 Coppin State 56.4 ppg

_______

Field Goal Percentage

#1 Saint Mary's 52.4 %

#351 Coppin State 33.9 %


_______

Free Throw

#1 William & Mary 81.9 %

#351 Florida International 57.3 %

_______


College Game 40 minutes total

NBA 48 minutes total

_______


There is a huge range in scoring in college basketball:
High 92.7 ppg
Low 56.4 ppg

Thus, the range of totals is approximately 120 to 180.

_______

There are a large number of teams
351

_______

Many teams are Not good at scoring.

Many players are Not good at scoring.

Many teams and players are inconsistent.

Scoring is volatile.

_______

Scoring in Not guaranteed.

In fact, most teams miss > 50% of their shots.

Not scoring is the natural state.
There is a statistical gravity drawing the score down.

_______

There is a certain amount of random luck to scoring.

_______

The higher the total
the less likely the teams will go over.

Time is a factor.
You just run out of time
and fail to reach the total
if the total is very high.


_______

Teams tend to score less on the road.

For example, Duke scores 97.7 ppg at home.
On the road, Duke scores 87.7 ppg.
10 points less on the road.


_______

College basketball teams play Defense.

For example, Virginia has the #1 Defense
Virginia only allows 53 ppg.

In contrast, NBA teams do Not play defense.

_______

Some college teams play at a slow pace strategically.

_______

Injuries also impact scoring.
You gotta check injuries.

Injuries impact both offense and defense.

_______

Vegas uses season stats to set lines.
Seasonal stats sometimes does Not reflect the current real time power ratings.


_______

Some teams go Under a lot

For example,
UCF Central Florida has gone Under 12-1
UNDER 92.3 % this season

_______

Considering the above stated facts,
I believe that a strategy of
UNDERS in college basketball
is potentially profitable


_______

Look for games totals of 150 and higher

Look at recent scoring, defense,
quality of opponent,
injuries, home, away, etc.

Look for games that will likely go Under

_______

While Unders is a good for College Basketball,
NBA basketball may Not work, because NBA plays No defense.

_______

*College *Basketball *Unders

_______

Today is 01-17-2018




ATS


Under


PPG


Defense


Vegas


Duke


Virginia


Injuries



Daily Predictions BPI


_______



Data Mining

There are 351 college basketball teams


Offense   points per game  ppg

Duke is number one
Duke scores 92.7 points per game

#351  Coppin State  56.4


Most college basketball teams are 
in the range of 60 and 90 points per game
60 / 90  is a good rule of thumb 
that is easy to remember
for points per game ( offense )



Defense   points allowed per game

1   Virginia   52.9

351  Citadel  98.6

Most college basketball teams are 
in the range of 60 and 90 points allowed per game
60 / 90  is a good rule of thumb that is easy to remember
for points allowed per game ( defense )



TOTALS = Offense + Defense

Lowest Total
UCF central florida  122
combination of low ppg and good defense
may have slow tempo too

Highest Total
Citadel  181
combination of high ppg and bad defense
may have fast tempo too

Tempo = Possessions per game

Looking at average seasonal game Totals
120 - 180
is an easy range to remember

250 teams have totals of 150 or lower

Remember there are 351 teams 
So 70 percent of teams average 150 or lower

Therefore, 150 is a good strike point


*UNDER 150



^These stats are from 01-16-2018

_______


Tempo = Possessions per game

High Tempo = High possessions per game
possessions are quicker
Pace is faster

When evaluating past performance 
both offense PPG and defense
you have to make adjustments

Adjustments for Tempo 

Adjustments for Opponent
Quality of opponent 
Strength of schedule
Look at both Opponent's Offense and Defense


Sports Forecasting 

When looking ahead to the next game,
you need to project both teams'
offense and defense PPG production
adjusting for Tempo
and quality of opponent

Also, consider, home, road, motivation,
and injuries

For Over/Under
Tempo is an important factor

For covering point spread
Tempo is an important factor

For deciding the winner of the game,
tempo is Less important 

For deciding the winner of the game,
the projected
Points per possession = Efficiency
is the most important variable

Efficiency is the most important factor
in winning the game

So, to win,
teams should Not pursue PPG,
teams should seek Efficiency.

Treat each possession as a precious opportunity

Efficiency = Points per possession 

is the Key to winning


The Question determines the importance of variables


_______



EFFICIENCY 


Efficiency Differential = AdjO - AdjD


AdjO
Adjusted offensive efficiency
An estimate of the offensive efficiency (points scored per 100 possessions) a team would have against the average D-I defense.


AdjD
Adjusted defensive efficiency 
An estimate of the defensive efficiency (points allowed per 100 possessions) a team would have against the average D-I offense.


https://kenpom.com/blog/ratings-glossary/


Efficiency Differential = AdjO - AdjD

I believe this is strongly correlated with winning

Compare the two teams

Remember, Winning is the question

Not point spread

Not over/under




_______


Best   
Efficiency Differential = AdjO - AdjD

Purdue 31
Villanova 31
Virginia 29
Duke 27
Texas Tech 27
Michigan St. 26
Cincinnati 26
Gonzaga 26
North Carolina 24
Kansas 24


_______


AdjT 
Adjusted Tempo 
An estimate of the tempo (possessions per 40 minutes) a team would have against the team that wants to play at an average D-I tempo.

The range is 60 to 80 possessions per 40 minutes